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ConsciousnessLearn · Explore · Joseph Anady

Survival probability from conditional hazards

Each hazard is the conditional probability of an event in that period given survival up to that period. Multiplying successive complements yields the probability of remaining event-free through the selected period. Hazards in [0,1] give a nonincreasing survival curve…

Implementation mathematicsSource recovered; runtime not executed
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gh-eq-b7bb20af98bd8745source-continuation-equation
Survivalreturnsthecumulativesurvivalcurvefromaperperiodhazardvector:S[t]=productoveriin0..tof(1−hazard[i]).Shasthesamelengthashazards;S[t]istheprobabilityofstillbeingopen(notyetSurvival returns the cumulative survival curve from a per period hazard vector: S[t] = product over i in 0..t of (1 - hazard[i]). S has the same length as hazards; S[t] is the probability of still being open (not yet

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Each hazard is the conditional probability of an event in that period given survival up to that period. Multiplying successive complements yields the probability of remaining event-free through the selected period. Hazards in [0,1] give a nonincreasing survival curve in [0,1]; the application uses this for remaining open rather than a biological survival outcome.

Terms & definitions

TermMeaning in this source
S_t

Probability of remaining open through period t

hazard_i

Conditional event probability in period i

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Original context

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		if atRisk[m] > 0 {
			hazard[m] = events[m] / atRisk[m]
		}
	}
	return hazard
}

// Survival returns the cumulative survival curve from a per period hazard vector: S[t] = product over i in 0..t
// of (1 - hazard[i]). S has the same length as hazards; S[t] is the probability of still being open (not yet
// filled) at the end of period t+1. A hazard clamped outside [0,1] is treated as its nearest bound so the
// survival stays a valid probability.
func Survival(hazards []float64) []float64 {
	s := make([]float64, len(hazards))
	running := 1.0
	for t, h := range hazards {
		if h < 0 {
			h = 0
		}
Exact original notation
Survival returns the cumulative survival curve from a per period hazard vector: S[t] = product over i in 0..t
of (1 - hazard[i]). S has the same length as hazards; S[t] is the probability of still being open (not yet

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